November was so hot globally it’s now over 99.999 percent certain 2015 will be the hottest year on record — driven overwhelmingly by record levels of carbon pollution in the air.
Gavin Schmidt, the director of NASA’s Goddard Institute of Space Studies (GISS), tweeted out this chart Monday:
2015 will be a scorcher relative to all other years in the record. Even with sampling uncertainty: pic.twitter.com/wvTvzA1GC2
— Gavin Schmidt (@ClimateOfGavin) December 14, 2015
Advertisement
Schmidt also tweeted out “With Nov update to GISTEMP, probability of 2015 being a record year is > 99.999%.”
Scientifically, >99.999 percent certainty is equivalent to the chances that:
- The new Star Wars movie will make money.
- Donald Trump will say something at the Las Vegas GOP debate that will offend somebody.
- At some point in your life, you will experience either death or taxes.
